Presurgical Upgrade Prediction of DCIS to Invasive Ductal Carcinoma Using Time-dependent Deep Learning Models with DCE MRI
model2025-11-23https://doi.org/10.1148/atlas.1763916005374
31

Overview

Schema Version

https://atlas.rsna.org/schemas/2025-11/model.json

Name

Presurgical Upgrade Prediction of DCIS to Invasive Ductal Carcinoma Using Time-dependent Deep Learning Models with DCE MRI

Link

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38900042/

Indexing

Keywords: DCIS, invasive ductal carcinoma, DCE MRI, breast MRI, upgrade prediction, CNN, LSTM, time-dependent deep learning, preoperative risk stratification
Content: BR, MR
RadLex: RID10312, RID4265, RID49531

Author(s)

John D. Mayfield
Dana Ataya
Mahmoud Abdalah
Olya Stringfield
Marilyn M. Bui
Natarajan Raghunand
Bethany Niell
Issam El Naqa

Organization(s)

University of South Florida College of Medicine
H. Lee Moffitt Cancer Center and Research Institute

Version

1.0

Contact

John D. Mayfield, email: ude.dravrah.hgm@dleifyamdj

Funding

National Cancer Institute/NIH R01CA249016; Moffitt Cancer Center Support Grant P30-CA076292; institutional support from H. Lee Moffitt Cancer Center Quantitative Imaging Core.

Ethical review

IRB-approved, HIPAA compliant; waiver of informed consent.

Date

Published: 2024-06-20

References

[1] Mayfield JD, Ataya D, Abdalah M, Stringfield O, Bui MM, Raghunand N, Niell B, El Naqa I. "Presurgical Upgrade Prediction of DCIS to Invasive Ductal Carcinoma Using Time-dependent Deep Learning Models with DCE MRI". Radiology: Artificial Intelligence. 2024 Sep;6(5):e230348.. 2024-06-20. doi:10.1148/ryai.230348. PMID: 38900042. PMCID: PMC11427917.

Model

Architecture

Deep learning classification using CNN and time-dependent CNN-RNN. Backbones: VGG16 and ResNet50 (with/without ImageNet pretraining). Best-performing architecture: VGG16 feature extractor + LSTM. Optimizer: Adam; learning rate ~1e-6 (tuned to 1e-5); early stopping (patience 5 after 30 epochs); micro-batch size 4; LSTM internal and recurrent dropout 0.5. Class imbalance handled with ADASYN; image augmentations via Keras (RandomContrast, RandomFlip, RandomSkew, RandomBrightness).

Availability

Authors state final model and weights available for 2 years upon publication via GitHub (account: radres2019); contact corresponding author for access/details.

Clinical benefit

Assist in preoperative prediction of DCIS lesions at risk of upgrade to invasive malignancy, potentially informing surgical planning (e.g., sentinel lymph node biopsy) and enabling de-escalation for low-risk lesions.

Clinical workflow phase

Clinical decision support during preoperative planning for patients with biopsy-proven DCIS undergoing breast MRI.

Degree of automation

Automated image-based classification; no lesion segmentation prerequisite (uses cropped breast slice). Intended to support, not replace, clinician decision-making.

Indications for use

Women with core-biopsy–proven ductal carcinoma in situ undergoing preoperative dynamic contrast-enhanced breast MRI to estimate risk of upgrade to invasive disease.

Input

Preoperative DCE breast MRI post-contrast phases: four axial fat-suppressed T1-weighted 3D GRE postgadolinium images. For static CNN: single axial slice (largest lesion area) per phase, cropped to affected breast, normalized 0–255, resized to 224×224; multiphase images as channels. For time-dependent CNN-LSTM: four sequential postcontrast phases combined into a 4-frame 1 fps video (.avi).

Instructions

Identify DCIS lesion, select axial slice with largest lesion area, crop to affected breast excluding mediastinum/contralateral breast/markers; normalize pixel values 0–255; resize to 224×224. Use ADASYN for minority class oversampling; apply Keras augmentations. Train with stratified 10-fold CV (80:10:10 split with randomized 10% holdout), Adam optimizer (LR tuned around 1e-6 to 1e-5), early stopping after 30 epochs (patience 5).

Limitations

Single-institution retrospective cohort; small sample size (n=154; 25 upgrades); no external independent test set; majority White population; only cases with MRI correlate included; potential bias/generalizability limits; conversion to .avi for temporal modeling may reduce dynamic range; requires manual selection/cropping of slice with largest lesion area.

Output

CDEs: RDE924, RDE1586.7, RDE1586.9
Description: Binary classification: probability of upgrade of DCIS to invasive malignancy at surgery.

Recommendation

Use time-dependent, sequential multiphase DCE MRI inputs (all four postcontrast phases) with a VGG16+LSTM architecture; models without segmentation but with careful cropping performed best in this study.

Regulatory information

Authorization status: Research use only; no regulatory clearance reported.

Reproducibility

Stratified 10-fold cross-validation with randomized 10% holdout set; hyperparameter tuning described; 10×10 CV t-tests for significance; occlusion maps used for model attention; data handling and anti-leakage measures reported.

Use

Intended: Risk assessment
Out-of-scope: Image reconstruction, Exam protocol selection
Excluded: Detection and diagnosis

User

Intended: Radiologist, Referring physician, Researcher
Out-of-scope: Layperson
Excluded: Non-physician provider