Patient-specific Hip Arthroplasty Dislocation Risk Calculator (Explainable Multimodal ML)
2026-01-24https://doi.org/10.1148/atlas.1769272923412
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Overview
Schema Version
https://atlas.rsna.org/schemas/2025-11/model.json
Name
Patient-specific Hip Arthroplasty Dislocation Risk Calculator (Explainable Multimodal ML)
Link
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/36523643/
Indexing
Keywords: Hip, Total hip arthroplasty, Dislocation, Risk calculator, Multimodal, Radiograph, Survival analysis, XGBoost, EfficientNet, Swin Transformer, Explainability, SHAP
Content: MK
RadLex: RID2646, RID2641, RID10345
Author(s)
Bardia Khosravi
Pouria Rouzrokh
Hilal Maradit Kremers
Dirk R. Larson
Quinn J. Johnson
Shahriar Faghani
Walter K. Kremers
Bradley J. Erickson
Rafael J. Sierra
Michael J. Taunton
Cody C. Wyles
Organization(s)
Mayo Clinic
Version
1.0
License
Text: © 2022 by the Radiological Society of North America, Inc.
Contact
Cody C. Wyles (email as provided): ude.oyam@ydoC.selyW
Funding
Supported in part by the Mayo Foundation Presidential Fund and NIH grants R01AR73147 and P30AR76312.
Ethical review
Institutional review board approved; HIPAA compliant; waiver of informed consent.
Date
Published: 2022-10-05
Created: 2022-04-07
References
[1] Khosravi B, Rouzrokh P, Maradit Kremers H, Larson DR, Johnson QJ, Faghani S, Kremers WK, Erickson BJ, Sierra RJ, Taunton MJ, Wyles CC. "Patient-specific Hip Arthroplasty Dislocation Risk Calculator: An Explainable Multimodal Machine Learning–based Approach". Radiology: Artificial Intelligence. 2022 Nov;4(6):e220067.. 2022-11-01. doi:10.1148/ryai.220067. PMID: 36523643. PMCID: PMC9745445.
Model
Architecture
Hybrid deep learning image feature extractor (EfficientNet-B4 backbone feeding Swin-B vision transformer) combined with clinical variables; top 10 transformer imaging features selected via XGBoost; final multimodal survival XGBoost model (with survival embeddings) on 10 imaging + 21 clinical features.
Clinical benefit
Predicts individualized 5-year risk (hazard) of dislocation after primary total hip arthroplasty; supports preoperative planning and surgical decision-making to mitigate risk.
Clinical workflow phase
Preoperative planning; clinical decision support systems.
Degree of automation
Decision support; provides risk estimates and explainable feature attributions; clinicians retain decision-making.
Indications for use
Adults undergoing primary total hip arthroplasty; intended to estimate dislocation risk within 5 years using a preoperative AP pelvic/hip radiograph plus demographics, comorbidities, and surgical characteristics; use in preoperative clinical environment.
Input
Latest preoperative anteroposterior pelvic or hip radiograph plus 21 encoded clinical features (demographics, comorbidities, surgical characteristics).
Instructions
Provide the latest preoperative AP pelvic/hip radiograph and required clinical variables; review generated patient-specific 5-year dislocation risk and the matrix of risk estimates across modifiable surgical options (surgical approach, acetabular liner type, femoral head size); examine SHAP-based explanations for contributing factors.
Limitations
Single-institution retrospective study; no external validation; potential generalizability concerns despite images from >120 devices over 20 years; model does not account for intraoperative factors such as implant positioning or soft-tissue management; relatively low diversity in acetabular liner types among dislocation cases; rare, multifactorial outcome limits performance; prospective validation needed.
Output
CDEs: RDE1600.2, RDE2944, RDE2945, RDE2259
Description: Individualized 5-year dislocation hazard (risk) estimate and a matrix of risk values across combinations of modifiable surgical decisions; explainability via SHAP and integrated gradient maps highlighting influential imaging and clinical features.
Recommendation
Use as an adjunct for preoperative risk stratification and to assess how modifiable surgical choices may alter dislocation risk.
Reproducibility
Internal development with 10-fold cross-validation; holdout test set (10% of cohort); image classifier trained/validated on 22,724 images from 129 devices; no external validation reported; preprocessing and training details provided (frameworks, hyperparameters).
Sustainability
Training performed in PyTorch (v1.10.0) on four NVIDIA A100 GPUs; batch size 128; 100 epochs with learning rate scheduling and EMA; runtime/energy use not reported.
Use
Intended: Risk assessment
Out-of-scope: Detection and diagnosis
Excluded: Procedure selection
User
Intended: Subspecialist diagnostic radiologist
Out-of-scope: Layperson
Excluded: Layperson